Bullish thesis on Flutter (FLUT), a major online gambling operator, which has been heavily sold off due to LSE delisting passive selling, Brazilian regulatory concerns, and market overreaction. Author argues the Brazil ban impact is overstated (only ~$5 haircut) and sees significant upside to $120 PT despite 30% implied bankruptcy risk priced in.

Author betting $20k on FLUT based on low valuation and continued market support, with shorts potentially taking profits. Post lacks fundamental analysis and is written in a casual, non-serious tone.

The post discusses investing in FLUT (a company likely in the gambling/gaming sector) after a significant 68% price decline, arguing that the drawdown presents a buying opportunity. Key risks include further losses, execution challenges, sector headwinds, and the inherent volatility of the target company.

FLUT (Flutter Entertainment) has collapsed from $314 to ~$100 in one year due to deteriorating earnings estimates, rising leverage, and credit downgrades, but the author is bullish betting that FIFA World Cup 26 will provide a major revenue tailwind to reverse the decline. Key risks include continued earnings misses, high leverage, credit downgrades, London delisting in June 2026, and significant short interest.

A billionaire's substantial $5 billion investment acquiring 28% of FLUT's float signals strong conviction in the company's value and potential upside. Key risks include execution risk on the billionaire's strategy, market conditions, and potential dilution or disagreements with existing management.

The post analyzes FanDuel's valuation and market sentiment, questioning whether current selling pressure represents a genuine undervaluation opportunity or a warning sign of fundamental issues. Key risks include competitive pressure from other sportsbooks, regulatory challenges, and the company's path to profitability amid intense industry competition.