● WEEKEND | NEXT OPEN: 2026-09-14 09:30 ET | 07:18 ET | PRICES DELAYED 15 MIN | NYSE · NASDAQ · TSX

Crude oil to $200/bbl and Oil-bros to Valhalla!!!

BULLISH by u/Leveraged_Lots | May 15, 2026 | 43↑ 85 comments | 38 views | VIEW ON REDDIT
$VAL$SDRL$NE$CHRD$SM$MTDR$MUR$CRGY$KOS$BTU$SXC$CRK$GPRK$MOS$FIP
$VAL VALARIS LIMITED ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$75.50
-3.04 (-3.87%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -3.87%
5D CHG -8.64%
30D CHG -18.65%
$SDRL SEADRILL LIMITED ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$37.73
-2.04 (-5.14%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -5.14%
5D CHG -6.20%
30D CHG -22.85%
$NE NOBLE CORPORATION PLC A ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$39.17
-2.78 (-6.63%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -6.63%
5D CHG -9.97%
30D CHG -20.73%
$CHRD CHORD ENERGY CORPORATION ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$119.93
-4.50 (-3.62%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -3.62%
5D CHG -5.35%
30D CHG -18.89%
$SM SM ENERGY COMPANY ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$26.51
-0.90 (-3.28%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -3.28%
5D CHG -5.52%
30D CHG -14.48%
$MTDR MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$50.16
+0.07 (+0.14%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG +0.14%
5D CHG -0.48%
30D CHG -12.57%
$MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$35.20
-0.82 (-2.28%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -2.28%
5D CHG -1.40%
30D CHG -14.79%
$CRGY CRESCENT ENERGY COMPANY ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$10.17
-0.35 (-3.33%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -3.33%
5D CHG -6.01%
30D CHG -26.26%
$KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD. ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$2.12
-0.18 (-8.04%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -8.04%
5D CHG -15.06%
30D CHG -32.21%
$BTU PEABODY ENERGY CORPORATION ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$23.30
-0.95 (-3.90%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -3.90%
5D CHG -8.54%
30D CHG -6.53%
$SXC SUNCOKE ENERGY, INC. BASIC MATERIALS EQUITY SIMULATION
$8.13
-0.24 (-2.81%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -2.81%
5D CHG -9.11%
30D CHG +16.34%
$CRK COMSTOCK RESOURCES, INC. ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$13.46
-0.01 (-0.04%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -0.04%
5D CHG +0.86%
30D CHG -22.36%
$GPRK GEOPARK LTD ENERGY EQUITY SIMULATION
$9.27
-0.41 (-4.19%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -4.19%
5D CHG -10.83%
30D CHG -5.44%
$MOS MOSAIC COMPANY (THE) BASIC MATERIALS EQUITY SIMULATION
$20.86
-0.38 (-1.81%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -1.81%
5D CHG -3.80%
30D CHG -9.38%
$FIP FTAI INFRASTRUCTURE INC. INDUSTRIALS EQUITY SIMULATION
$4.71
+0.08 (+1.62%)
LAST PRICE · 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG +1.62%
5D CHG -3.19%
30D CHG -13.27%
AI SUMMARY — Author argues crude oil will surge to $200/bbl due to failed US-China summit on Iran, Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, falling global crude stockpiles, and insufficient demand destruction to balance supply/demand gap. Bullish thesis expressed through large portfolio allocation to offshore oil services, E&P stocks, thermal coal, and fertilizer positions.
TICKERVAL USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $103.27
POSITION 6 sh SYN BOOK VAL $619.62
CURRENT $75.50 P&L % -26.89%
CURR VAL $453.00 P&L $ -166.62
TICKERSDRL USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $51.37
POSITION 12 sh SYN BOOK VAL $616.44
CURRENT $37.73 P&L % -26.56%
CURR VAL $452.70 P&L $ -163.74
TICKERNE USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $51.95
POSITION 12 sh SYN BOOK VAL $623.37
CURRENT $39.17 P&L % -24.60%
CURR VAL $470.04 P&L $ -153.33
TICKERCHRD USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $141.30
POSITION 4 sh SYN BOOK VAL $565.21
CURRENT $119.93 P&L % -15.12%
CURR VAL $479.72 P&L $ -85.49
TICKERSM USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $31.16
POSITION 21 sh SYN BOOK VAL $654.27
CURRENT $26.51 P&L % -14.91%
CURR VAL $556.71 P&L $ -97.56
TICKERMTDR USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $57.94
POSITION 11 sh SYN BOOK VAL $637.34
CURRENT $50.16 P&L % -13.43%
CURR VAL $551.76 P&L $ -85.58
TICKERMUR USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $38.61
POSITION 17 sh SYN BOOK VAL $656.45
CURRENT $35.20 P&L % -8.84%
CURR VAL $598.40 P&L $ -58.05
TICKERCRGY USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $12.49
POSITION 53 sh SYN BOOK VAL $662.18
CURRENT $10.17 P&L % -18.60%
CURR VAL $539.01 P&L $ -123.17
TICKERKOS USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $2.93
POSITION 227 sh SYN BOOK VAL $665.11
CURRENT $2.12 P&L % -27.82%
CURR VAL $480.11 P&L $ -185.00
TICKERBTU USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $24.18
POSITION 27 sh SYN BOOK VAL $652.96
CURRENT $23.30 P&L % -3.67%
CURR VAL $628.97 P&L $ -23.99
TICKERSXC USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $7.79
POSITION 85 sh SYN BOOK VAL $662.15
CURRENT $8.13 P&L % +4.43%
CURR VAL $691.48 P&L $ +29.33
TICKERCRK USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $14.88
POSITION 44 sh SYN BOOK VAL $654.72
CURRENT $13.46 P&L % -9.58%
CURR VAL $592.02 P&L $ -62.70
TICKERGPRK USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $9.71
POSITION 68 sh SYN BOOK VAL $660.14
CURRENT $9.27 P&L % -4.56%
CURR VAL $630.02 P&L $ -30.12
TICKERMOS USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $22.45
POSITION 29 sh SYN BOOK VAL $651.10
CURRENT $20.86 P&L % -7.07%
CURR VAL $605.08 P&L $ -46.02
TICKERFIP USERu/Leveraged_Lots
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $4.72
POSITION 141 sh SYN BOOK VAL $665.41
CURRENT $4.71 P&L % -0.30%
CURR VAL $663.40 P&L $ -2.01

The Trump/Xi summit failed to accomplish anything, the US wanted China to pressure Iran to open the SoH, China claimed they already did and yet it remains closed, furthermore China expressed a need for talks about Taiwan if further involvement from them were to happen in the US/Iran conflict, this is obviously a clear non-negotiable for the US as that would jeopardize the US chips industry, much of which would then be controlled by China. In a apparent showing of frustration, after meetings wrapped, Trump once again wrote on Truth Social "WE DON'T NEED THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ OPEN" Oil markets are responding this morning (in Europe) by sending Brent Crude Oil higher by slightly over 3%. With global stockpiles of Crude and refined products starting to fall precipitously, no apparent end to hostilities, allowing for resumption of flows through Hormuz and insufficient demand destruction to close the gap created between supply and demand, I remain extremely bullish on crude oil and reiterating my $200/bbl price target. My bullishness on crude is expressed via a large exposure to offshore oil services and exploration and production stocks.

I also hold a thermal coal position for substitution driven demand increases in Asia and a fertilizer position for shortage driven price increases.

All stock positions disclosure:

Name - Ticker - Weight % - P/L %

Valaris - VAL - 10.69% - +137.13%

Seadrill - SDRL - 10.19% - +110.19%

Noble - NE - 10.09% - +107.30%

Chord Energy - CHRD - 8.08% - +67.44%

SM Energy - SM - 8.02% - +74.67%

Matador - MTDR - 7.82% - +44.99%

Murphy Oil - MUR - 6.89% - +27.50%

Crescent Energy - CRGY - 6.56% - +55.49%

Kosmos Energy - KOS - 6.36% - +54.21%

Peabody Energy - BTU - 5.60% - +1.51%

SunCoke Energy - SXC - 5.12% - +22.26%

Comstock Resources - CRK - 5.07% - (17.79%)

GeoPark Ltd - GPRK - 5.00% - +63.26%

Mosaic - MOS - 4.84% - +0.04%

FTAI Infra LLC - FIP - 3.21% - +12.83%