๐จ SOFI STOCK NEWS TODAY: SoFi stock bounced 2.8% to $14.61 โ but a rare bearish options signal says this could be a dead cat bounce. 78% of the last 9 signals ended lower one month later ๐
Part 3 of our SOFI forensic series.
Per Schaeffer's: SOFI's 10-day call/put ratio hit 4.45 (ISE/CBOE/PHLX) โ higher than 90% of past-year readings. The contrarian read: when everyone bets on the bounce, the bounce runs out of buyers.
This signal fired 9 times in 3 years. SOFI fell the next month 78% of the time, averaging -7%. A repeat lands near $13.60 โ lowest since June 2025.
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1๏ธโฃ THE SIGNAL: 4.45 call/put ratio, 90th percentile โ an optimism extreme in the options pits.
2๏ธโฃ THE TRACK RECORD: 7 of 9 ended red, avg -7%. History rhymes; it doesn't guarantee.
3๏ธโฃ THE BOUNCE: $13.86 52-week low โ $14.61 (+2.8%). The signal fired ON the bounce โ that's the warning.
4๏ธโฃ THE PRESSURE: -44.3% YTD, descending trendline from January, short interest +21%. Bears are adding, not covering.
5๏ธโฃ THE LEVELS: resistance \~$18.90 + trendline overhead. Support \~$14.00, then $13.86. RSI 33.49 โ relief, not reversal.
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๐ฏ BOTTOM LINE: the chart says dead cat until proven otherwise. Is SOFI a buy into earnings, or is this the bounce you sell? Drop your SOFI price target ๐
โ ๏ธ No position in SOFI, long or short. Not financial advice โ forensic analysis from public data, SEC filings and Schaeffer's options research. Do your own due diligence.
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