Alright regards. Hear me out.
GTA 5 came out in 2013. Obama was president. The PS4 wasn't even out yet.
13 years and THREE presidents later, Rockstar is finally releasing GTA 6.
And who's in the White House?
DONALD FUCKING TRUMP.
I'm not saying the president can make video game stocks moon. But if anyone can declare GTA 6 a matter of national economic security, it's the guy who puts tariffs on everything.
Anyway, I actually looked at the numbers instead of jerking off to the trailers.
THE NUMBERS:
- $TTWO hit $265.94 in July. September 30 close? $207.50.
- DOWN 22% heading into GTA 6.
- FY26 net bookings: $6.72 BILLION.
- FY27 guidance: $8–8.2 BILLION. Nearly 20% growth.
- GTA 6 launches November 19.
- Rockstar is selling a $400 collector's box that DOESN'T EVEN INCLUDE THE FUCKING GAME.
Read that last one again.
These motherfuckers are selling people a $400 box without the product.
And Wall Street has the stock down 22%?
WHAT ARE WE DOING HERE.
AND NOW THE STOCK IS FINALLY WAKING UP.
Three green days in a row.
$201.44 → $207.50.
September 30 alone? +2.33% while the S&P 500 was RED.
Now I'm watching $209–210. If it breaks through and holds, this recovery starts looking a lot more interesting.
My portfolio has been waiting for this longer than we've been waiting for GTA 6.
THE TRUMP ECONOMIC THESIS:
Obama gave us GTA 5.
Biden gave us GTA 6 trailers.
Trump gets the actual fucking game.
This is not an economic model. This is a man with a brokerage account and a dream.
But if Trump can rename AI to Super Intelligence, surely he can rename my unrealised losses to unrealised gains.
MAKE VICE CITY GREAT AGAIN.
WHAT COULD GO WRONG?
- Valuation: GTA 6 already priced into forward multiples.
- Macro: Rising 10Y yields compress valuations.
- Execution: Another delay or guidance miss.
- Sell-the-news: Institutions dump into launch hype.
Basically, GTA 6 could break every entertainment record and my portfolio could still look like Los Santos after a five-star wanted level.
The question for the bears:
If GTA 6 is fully priced in, why has $TTWO lost almost a quarter of its value since July?
Explain it to me like I'm five because I'm currently financially qualified to operate a shopping trolley.
TL;DR: Obama gave us GTA 5. Trump gets GTA 6. Take-Two is forecasting billions in growth and my portfolio is currently applying for federal disaster relief.
MAKE MY ACCOUNT GREEN AGAIN.