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Sports betting and $GENI

BULLISH by u/John_Bot | May 15, 2026 | 5↑ 13 comments | 29 views | VIEW ON REDDIT
$GENI
$GENI GENIUS SPORTS LIMITED COMMUNICATION SERVICES EQUITY SIMULATION
$5.64
-0.22 (-3.67%)
LAST PRICE ยท 15 MIN DELAY
DAY CHG -3.67%
5D CHG -17.83%
30D CHG +30.37%
AI SUMMARY โ€” GENI (Genius Sports) supplies sports data to major sportsbooks and leagues (NFL, Premier League, NCAA), offering exposure to the entire sports betting industry through a single stock. Trading at $1B market cap with $1B 2026 revenue guidance, 30% YoY growth, profitability, and improving EBITDA margins (23% to 28%), plus potential upside from prediction market partnerships; key risks include execution on Legend merger integration and regulatory changes to sports betting.
TICKERGENI USERu/John_Bot
RATING BULLISH ENTRY $4.16
POSITION 2403 sh SYN BOOK VAL $9996.48
CURRENT $5.64 P&L % +35.70%
CURR VAL $13564.93 P&L $ +3568.45

I know we all hate the nonstop sports betting commercials.

Draft kings. Fanduel. Caesar's. BetMGM. And the list goes on and on.

Why invest in any of them when you can invest in all of them?

Partnerships

GENI / Genius supplies the sports data from leagues all over the world to these sportsbooks.

Leagues like:

\- NFL (who own 9% equity in GENI)

\- La Liga

\- NCAA basketball / March Madness

\- NCAA football

\- English Premier League

Fundamentals

They're a $1 billion dollar market cap stock that is guiding revenue of $1 billion for 2026.

And they're profitable.

\- their last 2 EPS were negative due to one-time warrant liabilities and combination fees when they merged with Legend

EBITDA for 2026 was also raised from 23% to 28%

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GENI/genius-sports/revenue

Revenue is growing 30% YoY

Price targets are currently averaging $10 or more.

Polymarket and Kalshi

As we all know - "prediction" markets are blowing up. If they end up getting a partnership with one of these major players then that could be the catalyst to send GENI soaring like crazy.

\- even if they don't, they're positioned extremely well to return amazing returns

Market weakness

The stock was trading $13+ only 6 months ago. It was hit by a harsh sell off on the news they were buying Legend. But this last earnings was the first with the new company being factored in and they only raised all guidance, indicating that the combination will be very lucrative going forward.

Despite this, consistent price targets keep coming in for over 100% of today's trading price

Position: 8000 shares, 150 LEAPS at $2.5 and $5 strikes