The purpose of these posts is to provide tools that enable ๐ฆ ๐ฆ ๐ฆ to calculate the gamma squeeze effect for themselves.
I've updated the gamma squeeze calculator to include all the option chains until 2023 and removed the 3/5 expired ones, it now contains a total of 2,603 strikes and expiries. I have also added several new parameters to address shortcomings that others had pointed out. If for example you wish to only include strikes that will expire ITM in that week, now you can do it via the filters.
https://preview.redd.it/j8j3fot8nsl61.jpg?width=1120&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fbd7f7bfc8658ee73bf64e2ece3c680ec49d5de2
Download Link
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1IcUJUL3f9T3DJrniKBlJts8EQEOBAriy/view?usp=sharing
^(Takes time to load due to lots of vba calculation, does not contains viruses or malwares)
VirusTotal Scans
https://preview.redd.it/91mgdbfcnsl61.jpg?width=1869&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cc9ce5f895f2e0bf8c4b3b7c41833466280bf4a9
The calculator can be used to simulate several projected delta hedging scenarios under different forecasted prices with the time value as a parameter
https://preview.redd.it/ftfr19bmnsl61.jpg?width=421&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8ee056d4fbcd4c95690d429d53c780f719511d29
We see from the cover that even using very conservative parameters, MMs are holding close to 20% of the float just to delta hedge, which might partly explain the high float percentage owned by institutions as displayed on Bloomberg's terminal.
Now ๐ฆ ๐ฆ ๐ฆ only have limited amount of ๐๐๐, ๐ฆ ๐ฆ ๐ฆ need to ensure each ๐ is used for maximum effect. Based on the calculator's BSM modeling, the best delta/price ratio in the options chain across all expiries would be
https://preview.redd.it/7f1mifkqnsl61.jpg?width=1514&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c0b071e11c59970d61a5b84efe8e4cde2a28c3c1
The 3/12 270C, if apes were to buy one contract, 3.04 x 100 = $304, then MMs would need to hedge 0.137x100x137.74 = $1882 worth of shares to remain delta neutral
Giving an amplification factor of
1 ๐ -> 6 ๐
OTM calls like these might be fine for YOLO-ers ๐ฆ , but carry very high risk of ๐ฆ loosing all ๐, if 3/12 closing price ends below 270. A safer way for ๐ฆ, would probably be ITM calls, somewhere around the 100-110C strike price
https://preview.redd.it/nsheej6tnsl61.jpg?width=1517&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9ebb4ab3f305e9d3e940c030ca1229592e2fce75
This would still gives 1 ๐ -> 3 ๐ in delta hedge amplification
The profit / loss for ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ would be
https://preview.redd.it/rbgtyh85osl61.jpg?width=421&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ad69aea9b0da22fda291cb21156cefba9bda245d
Suppose $GME on 3/12 does close above 151, what should ๐ฆ do next ? Best would be to exercise those calls, but most ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ are poor(because they are ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ) and don't have enough powder to exercise calls. The next best thing would be to rollover those calls, selling ๐ฆ's calls that are expiring and buying the next week's ITM calls at higher strike, further propagating the gamma squeeze. Here's a graphical illustration of the process
https://preview.redd.it/4tvci7b7osl61.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=16ac2e20103057ca7421be70b341850cef7bc34d
this way, ๐ฆ ape can ensure ๐ is used to maximum effect, without taking on too much risk while also mitigating the shorts attacks.
๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ path to victory is almost ensured, but ๐ฆ should be aware that ๐ฆ is not in the final stage yet, ๐ฆ still needs to go through MMs first before showdown with ๐๐ in WallStreet. MMs are cold blooded amphibian species that likes to dwell in polluted bodies of water, thus most can be found alongside the Chicago river in Wacker