AI SUMMARY โ Investor is going all-in on AAOI based on its guidance for $471M/month revenue (~$5.5B annualized) by next year, suggesting significant upside from current 11B market cap valuation. Key risks include execution risk on guidance targets and the speculative nature of positioning photonics as the next AI bottleneck.
| TICKER | AAOI |
USER | u/Royal-Derpness |
| RATING |
BULLISH |
ENTRY |
$135.70
|
| POSITION |
73 sh
SYN
|
BOOK VAL |
$9906.10 |
| CURRENT |
$105.90 |
P&L % |
-21.96%
|
| CURR VAL |
$7730.70 |
P&L $ |
-2175.40
|
Went all in on AAOI earlier this morning
They are guiding for 471m / month of revenue by this time next year, so if they hit that they would be doing an annualized 5.5B of revenue.
Despite that guidance they are at a 11B market cap today
Even if they miss guidance or execution (very possible) the stock should still be trading materially higher a year from now
The next bottleneck of AI will be photonics mark my words, AAOI is the highest beta play you can find for the photonics sector